Friday, 13 September 2013

Signposting

Some interesting and informed previews are kicking around for the final and oldest classic of the season tomorrow.

Jamie Lynch from Timeform takes a readable and informative sire's view and Steve Miller from the RP's Weekender uses the fine-grained Dosage Index (a matrix of performance and pedigree, apparently) and have both come up with Excess Knowledge. Oddschecker jumps that way too, though its scientific application is less well pronounced than the aforementioned posts. John Gosden's charge, winless this season though with a string of good (and unlucky) efforts to his name, is currently heading the market.

By contrast, Aiden O'Brien's Leading Light is unbeaten this season but has been drifting slowly for much of the week. But he is not friendless in this straw poll of the preview circuit. Professional handicapper, Ged Egan's preview for At The Races is a pace-influenced, entertaining analysis that sides with the Coolmore No 1.

There is some nervousness about putting up Galileo Rock, even though he is mentioned in glowing dispatches everywhere. And that's because the uncertain weather forecast and possibility of the wrong conditions put his appearance in doubt. If there's anything worse than tipping a loser, it's tipping a non-runner. But that doesn't concern Tony McFadden, another of Timeform's luminaries, who sticks to the facts about the David Wachman beast. He also has a strong word for the filly and Oaks winner, Talent.

Jack Milner at Horseracing chat puts up Great Hall as the value punt whilst his colleague at the same blogsite smacked down the readies on Foundry earlier in the week. That's where I'm headed too. Backing on potential as usual.

A couple more tips for big outsiders merely underscores the fact that this is a very open and competitive renewal.  Sporting Life plunges for an outsider in Godolphin's second string, Secret Number on the basis of stamina and the trainer 'knowing how to win this' (!) Talking Horses puts up a small each way wager on their third string, Cap O' Rushes, still at 20-1 in the odd place.

Take out the rags Ralston Road and Havana Beat and we find every horse has its support amongst our preview sample, bar the Dante winner Libertarian. But I wouldn't take that as an indicator of his chances. He'll be out there somewhere, I just can't face reading another bloody preview!

Helpful? Possibly not.


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