Monday, 16 June 2014

June roster

With Roy Lasckut top-hatted and tailed, and rapping a silver handled walking stick on my door, it’s time for another stock take on the flat project.

I’ve been putting this off since Saturday. Another two defeats for list horses mean I’m reporting a loss since the last update. We do, however, cling with quick-bitten fingers to a slender overall profit. With many entries to come over the next five days, Ascot will be pivotal in the overall context of the project.

George Guru has been seen twice since the last update. A decent 2nd at Goodwood (a track he seems to like) paid a spawny each way return. Rain on the day of the race reduced the field to 7 and thus my e-w bet struck in the morning to two places. Normally I would never consider such terms. The decision was out of my hands this time, so the few quid I picked up can be considered a bonus. On Saturday at Sandown he was a much less convincing in 6th. I thought  Queally gave him a poor positional ride. He was trapped behind a wall of horses for too long, and particularly at the business end of the race. He may have had a squeak of a place at best. But he's off the list now. Stay ruthless. 

Roudee ran into a couple of good ones at Sandown’s Brigadier Gerard meeting. We were there to see the race on rain-softened ground. Both Cock Of The North and the winner Tiggy Wiggy showed class under the conditions and have been added to the roster. Roudee ran well for a long way on ground that appeared not to be ideal. More restrained tactics on better ground may help. Stays on the list for the Windsor Castle tomorrow, though that will be a tough ask. 

We all had good winners that night and there was some fine racing, drinking and banter  to be had. Nevertheless, the trashing of our carefully thought out win-double entendre on the aforementioned Cock Of The North with Whiplash Willie was a blow. The former shot his bolt in the stalls and the latter's effort drooped with some flaccid penetration at the business end.

Inconsolable. The cock and the willie let us down.  
Mind of Madness, another 2yo old prospect found a sharp one in Adaay from Haggis’ yard much too good at Yarmouth. I had fancied this in what turned out to be a straight fight between the two market leaders. The strength of his Chester win in May appealed, but the word before this race was that had been a pretty soft victory. There may be some truth in that, but he hasn’t finished improving yet, so holds his place in the line up until Ascot.

G Force has caught the eye in two previous runs. A lot was made of his draw on Saturday in the Scurry Stakes and for my money, he was allowed to run around too much. That said, he was beaten fair and square, though arguable that the improvement has not peaked yet. Should pick up more races.

Graphic had a good run when backed into favouritism for the Diomed at the Derby meeting. He was beaten by a proven Group 3 horse and probably needs ground with a little more cut.

The roster was supplemented by a couple of high profile types at the Epsom festival – Ihtimal, who surely wants a couple of furlongs less and to settle better; and Ballymore Castle, another 2yo, who ran well in defeat in the Woodcote and probably wants 7f.  

The roster is up to 15 horses and here is the running balance.

Date                 Horse                    Bet                            P/L                     R/T    
                                                                                                          [b/f  27.5]
22nd May        George Guru           5 e-w @ 8-1                  5                   32.5
30th May         Roudee                   5 win @ 7-1                  -5                   27.5
4th June          Mind of Madness    10 win @ 5-4                -10                 17.5
6th June          Graphic                   5 win @ 9-4                   -5                  12.5
14th June        George Guru           2.5 e-w @ 16-1             -5                   7.5
14th June        G Force                   2.5 e-w @ 2-1               -5                   2.5

This is the current list: Aljamaaheer, G Force, Gospel Choir, Made with Love, Mind Of Madness, Graphic, George Guru, Telescope, Roudee, Bright Approach, Es Que Love, Toofi, Cock Of The North, Tiggy Wiggy, Ihtimal, Ballymore Castle.


Many of these will be out over the next five days. Defending our small profit could be a big ask.